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Canada

Calgary Midnapore


MP elect: Stephanie Kusie (CPC)

Latest projection: May 11, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Calgary Midnapore


Liberal Sunjiv Raval
Conservative Stephanie Kusie*
NDP Austin Mullins
Green Adam Delgado
PPC Colin Kindret

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Calgary Midnapore 65% ± 4% CPC 30% ± 4% LPC 3% ± 2% NDP CPC 2025 65.4% 338Canada vote projection | May 11, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary Midnapore >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 11, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary Midnapore

LPC 30% ± 4% CPC 65% ± 4% NDP 3% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Calgary Midnapore 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 65% NDP 18% LPC 10% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 65% NDP 17% LPC 10% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 65% NDP 18% LPC 10% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 64% NDP 18% LPC 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 64% NDP 17% LPC 12% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 64% NDP 16% LPC 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 66% NDP 14% LPC 13% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 62% LPC 15% NDP 15% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 61% LPC 15% NDP 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 58% LPC 20% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 56% LPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 56% LPC 27% NDP 11% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 55% LPC 27% NDP 11% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 55% LPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 55% LPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 56% LPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 56% LPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 56% LPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 56% LPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 57% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 57% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 57% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 58% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 58% LPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 59% LPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 60% LPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 60% LPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 59% LPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 59% LPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 59% LPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 59% LPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 59% LPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 58% LPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 65% LPC 30% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 65% LPC 30% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Calgary Midnapore

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Calgary Midnapore



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 65% ± 4% 73.9% 60.3% 65.4% LPC 30% ± 4% 11.1% 12.5% 29.9% NDP 3% ± 2% 9.6% 18.5% 3.2% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.3% 6.1% 0.8% GPC 1% ± 1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.
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